热带西太平洋暖池次表层暖水的起源--对1997/1998年ENSO事件的分析

分析了从1955～1999年45年热带、副热带太平洋地区次表层温度距平资料,在分析沿赤道距平极值曲面的深度分布后,认为它基本接近气候温跃层的深度分布.由此分析了1994～1999年该曲面上温度距平的演变发现:1997/1998年El Nino产生时,在热带西太平洋暖池次表层(160 m附近)的温度正距平,是从1994/1995年El Nino在Nino 3区的最大正距平信号传播或演变过来的,整个最大正距平信号的传播轨迹形成一似"8"字的形状.与此同时,当正的温度距平开始从暖池向东传播时,一最大温度负距平信号在Nino 3区出现,并伴随赤道最大正距平信号的东传,在其北部(5～10°N)向西传,然后又向东传最后到达Nino 3区,其传播轨迹形成一扁"0"字形状.分析表明,1997/1998年这次完整的El Nino/La Nina事件主要是在热带流系的温跃层附近形成并传播的.     

用微机系统改进浅层高分辨率地震反射方法

记录设备动态范围的增在和数据处理软，硬件成本的下降使得地震反射方法在环境场地划分等地质目标体推断上成为一种卓有效的方法。近年来，使用便携微机地震仪采用数据并采用普通８０４８６ＰＣ机处理浅层地震反射数据，以环境，地质技术和地下水等单方面的应用表明了该方法解决关键地质科学问题的可行性。     

Timing of the Acadian Orogeny in Northern New Hampshire

New U-Pb geochronology constrains the timing of the Acadian orogeny in the Central Maine Terrane of northern New Hampshire. Sixteen fractions of one to six grains each of zircon or monazite have been analyzed from six samples: (1) an early syntectonic diorite that records the onset of the Acadian; (2) a schist, a migmatite, and two granites that together record the peak of the Acadian; and (3) a postkinematic pluton that records the end of the Acadian. Zircon from the syntectonic Wamsutta Diorite gives a 207Pb/206Pb age of circa 408 Ma, the time at which the boundary between the deforming orogenic wedge and the foreland basin was in the vicinity of the Presidential Range. This age agrees well with the Emsian position of the northwest migrating Acadian orogenic front and records the beginning of the Acadian in this part of the Central Maine Terrane. We propose a possible Acadian tectonic model that incorporates the geochronologic, structural, and stratigraphic data. Monazite from the schist, migmatite, Bigelow Lawn Granite, and Slide Peak Granite gives 207Pb/206U ages, suggesting the peak of Acadian metamorphism and intrusion of two-mica granites occurred at circa 402-405 Ma, the main pulse of Acadian orogenesis. Previously reported monazite ages from schists that likely record the peak metamorphism in the Central Maine Terrane of New Hampshire and western Maine range from circa 406-384 Ma, with younger ages in southeastern New Hampshire and progressively older ages to the west, north, and northeast. Acadian orogenesis in the Presidential Range had ended by circa 355 Ma, the 207Pb/235U age of monazite from the Peabody River Granite. From 408 to perhaps at least 394 Ma, Acadian orogenesis in the Presidential Range was typical of the tectonic style, dominated by synkinematic metamorphism, seen in central and southern New Hampshire, Massachusetts, and Connecticut. From no earlier than 394 Ma to as late as 355 Ma, the orogenesis was typical of the style in parts of Maine dominated by postkinematic metamorphism.     

影响中国及关键经济区热带气旋降水的气候趋势及极端性特征

本文利用中国气象局上海台风研究所整编的《热带气旋年鉴》(1951~2010年)最佳路径资料,分析影响我国和关键经济区热带气旋(TC)降水量、降水强度以及不同等级降水TC频数的气候变化趋势,研究结果表明,影响全国的TC总降水量的年际变化幅度大,年际差异显著。长江三角洲、珠江三角洲地区影响TC过程雨量年极值自1970年代开始缓慢上升,表明近年来TC引起的极端性降水存在增加的可能。全国范围内自1970年代开始,过程雨量大于250 mm的TC频数也在增加,但长江三角洲、珠江三角洲地区发生极端性降水的TC频数并没有明显的增长。TC造成的24小时降水极值的气候变化趋势不明显,但是1980年代全国范围内的24小时降水极值存在跃变。长江三角洲、珠江三角洲地区日降水极值超过250 mm的TC频数自1980年代开始有缓慢增加趋势。全国范围、长江三角洲及珠江三角洲内TC小时降雨量年极值呈现振荡的周期变化,而在年代际上没有明显的变化趋势。     

Removal of river-stage fluctuations from well response using multiple regression

Many contaminated unconfined aquifers are located in proximity to river systems. In groundwater studies, the physical presence of a river is commonly represented as a transient-head boundary that imposes hydrologic responses within the intersected unconfined aquifer. The periodic fluctuation of river-stage height at the boundary produces associated responses within the adjacent aquifer system, the magnitude of which is a function of the existing well, aquifer, boundary conditions, and characteristics of river-stage fluctuations. The presence of well responses induced by the river stage can significantly limit characterization and monitoring of remedial activities within the stress-impacted area. This article demonstrates the use of a time-domain, multiple-regression, convolution (superposition) method to develop well/aquifer river response function (RRF) relationships. Following RRF development, a multiple-regression deconvolution correction approach can be applied to remove river-stage effects from well water-level responses. Corrected well responses can then be analyzed to improve local aquifer characterization activities in support of optimizing remedial actions, assessing the area-of-influence of remediation activities, and determining mean groundwater flow and contaminant flux to the river system.     

Ecotoxicological approach for assessing the contamination of a Hawaiian coral reef ecosystem (Honolua Bay, Maui) by metals and a metalloid

The goal of this study was to assess the contamination of Honolua Bay using an ecotoxicological approach. First, the concentrations of 9 contaminants (metals and metalloid) were assessed in sediments and tropical marine organisms (alga Halimeda kanaloana, goatfish Parupeneus multifasciatus and urchin Tripneustes gratilla) sampled from Honolua and surrounding Bays. Then, the ecological parameters characterizing coral health (e.g. coral cover) were evaluated in Honolua Bay in the context of these contaminants. High concentrations of Co, Cr, Mn, Ni, and V in sediments from Honolua and Honokohau Bay were measured, but these concentrations were not mirrored in the organisms examined, except for Mn, suggesting that the metals are generally bound in chemically inert forms in these sediments. Moreover, few anthropogenic activities impact these bays and so the elevated Co, Cr, Mn, Ni and V concentrations in sediments appear to stem from their high natural background in Honolua and Honokohau watersheds. An analysis of the relationship between the ecological parameters and metal concentrations in Honolua Bay revealed a significant correlation between coral cover and Co, Cr, Mn, Ni, V, Zn concentrations in sediments, with coral cover decreasing with increasing metal concentration. Collectively, however, the data suggest that a complex mixture of land-based stressors (e.g. sediment, metals, nutrients) affect the coral health in Honolua Bay, rather than metal stress alone.     

IPCC《气候变化与土地特别报告》解读

总结了IPCC《气候变化与土地特别报告》中有关陆气相互作用、粮食系统与粮食安全、土地退化和荒漠化、可持续土地管理等的主要结论,分析了报告中争议较大的粮食系统温室气体排放、生物质能源、土地温室气体通量等问题。我国在粮食系统全生命周期温室气体排放量估算、基于遥感测量和地面测量的大气浓度等数据反演温室气体排放量等方面需要深入研究。同时,我国要继续加强可持续土地管理,提高相应的技术措施和能力建设。